Historical perspective: earlier ensembles and forecasting forecast skill (English)
- New search for: Kalnay, Eugenia
- New search for: Kalnay, Eugenia
In:
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
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145
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25-34
;
2019
- Article (Journal) / Electronic Resource
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Title:Historical perspective: earlier ensembles and forecasting forecast skill
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Contributors:Kalnay, Eugenia ( author )
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Published in:Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society ; 145 ; 25-34
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Publisher:
- New search for: John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
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Publication date:2019-09-01
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Size:10 pages
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ISSN:
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DOI:
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Type of media:Article (Journal)
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Type of material:Electronic Resource
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Language:English
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Keywords:
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Source:
Table of contents – Volume 145
The tables of contents are generated automatically and are based on the data records of the individual contributions available in the index of the TIB portal. The display of the Tables of Contents may therefore be incomplete.
- 1
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Introduction to the special issue on “25 years of ensemble forecasting”Buizza, Roberto et al. | 2019
- 1
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Towards more realistic hypotheses for the information content analysis of cloudy/precipitating situations – Application to a hyperspectral instrument in the microwaveAires, Filipe / Prigent, Catherine / Buehler, Stefan A. / Eriksson, Patrick / Milz, Mathias / Crewell, Susanne et al. | 2019
- 12
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The ECMWF ensemble prediction system: Looking back (more than) 25 years and projecting forward 25 yearsPalmer, Tim et al. | 2019
- 15
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Comparison of different representations of model error in ensemble forecastsPiccolo, Chiara / Cullen, Mike J. P. / Tennant, Warren J. / Semple, Adrian T. et al. | 2019
- 25
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Historical perspective: earlier ensembles and forecasting forecast skillKalnay, Eugenia et al. | 2019
- 28
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Analysis of observed rapid increases in surface wind speedRuff, Florian / Ólafsson, Haraldur et al. | 2019
- 35
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Using the hybrid gain algorithm to sample data assimilation uncertaintyHoutekamer, Pieter Leopold / Buehner, Mark / De La Chevrotière, Michèle et al. | 2019
- 40
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Quantifying the predictability of a predictand: Demonstrating the diverse roles of serial dependence in the estimation of forecast skillJarman, Alexander S. / Smith, Leonard A. et al. | 2019
- 53
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Adaptive covariance inflation in the ensemble Kalman filter by Gaussian scale mixturesRaanes, Patrick N. / Bocquet, Marc / Carrassi, Alberto et al. | 2019
- 57
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The scale dependence of initial‐condition sensitivities in simulations of convective systems over the southeastern United StatesWeyn, Jonathan A. / Durran, Dale R. et al. | 2019
- 75
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Treatment of model uncertainty from radiation by the Stochastically Perturbed Parametrization Tendencies (SPPT) scheme and associated revisions in the ECMWF ensemblesLock, Sarah‐Jane / Lang, Simon T. K. / Leutbecher, Martin / Hogan, Robin J. / Vitart, Frederic et al. | 2019
- 76
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Lagrangian transport across the upper Arctic waters in the Canada BasinBalibrea‐Iniesta, Francisco / Xie, Jiping / García‐Garrido, Víctor J. / Bertino, Laurent / Mancho, Ana M. / Wiggins, Stephen et al. | 2019
- 90
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Convection‐permitting ensembles: Challenges related to their design and useFrogner, Inger‐Lise / Singleton, Andrew T. / Køltzow, Morten Ø. / Andrae, Ulf et al. | 2019
- 92
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Seasonal forecast skill for extratropical cyclones and windstormsBefort, Daniel J. / Wild, Simon / Knight, Jeff R. / Lockwood, Julia F. / Thornton, Hazel E. / Hermanson, Leon / Bett, Philip E. / Weisheimer, Antje / Leckebusch, Gregor C. et al. | 2019
- 105
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The western Pacific subtropical high and tropical cyclone landfall: Seasonal forecasts using the Met Office GloSea5 systemCamp, Joanne / Roberts, Malcolm J. / Comer, Ruth E. / Wu, Peili / MacLachlan, Craig / Bett, Philip E. / Golding, Nicola / Toumi, Ralf / Chan, Johnny C. L. et al. | 2019
- 107
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Ensemble size: How suboptimal is less than infinity?Leutbecher, Martin et al. | 2019
- 117
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Impact of radar data assimilation and orography on predictability of deep convectionBachmann, Kevin / Keil, Christian / Weissmann, Martin et al. | 2019
- 129
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The ensemble‐adjusted Ignorance Score for forecasts issued as normal distributionsSiegert, Stefan / Ferro, Christopher A. T. / Stephenson, David B. / Leutbecher, Martin et al. | 2019
- 131
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The importance of stratospheric initial conditions for winter North Atlantic Oscillation predictability and implications for the signal‐to‐noise paradoxO'Reilly, Christopher H. / Weisheimer, Antje / Woollings, Tim / Gray, Lesley J. / MacLeod, Dave et al. | 2019
- 140
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How confident are predictability estimates of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation?Weisheimer, Antje / Decremer, Damien / MacLeod, David / O'Reilly, Christopher / Stockdale, Tim N. / Johnson, Stephanie / Palmer, Tim N. et al. | 2019
- 147
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Signal and noise in regime systems: A hypothesis on the predictability of the North Atlantic OscillationStrommen, Kristian / Palmer, Tim N. et al. | 2019
- 160
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Uncertainty and scale interactions in ocean ensembles: From seasonal forecasts to multidecadal climate predictionsZanna, L. / Brankart, J. M. / Huber, M. / Leroux, S. / Penduff, T. / Williams, P. D. et al. | 2019
- 164
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Sensitivity of the surface orographic gravity wave drag to vertical wind shear over AntarcticaTurner, Holly V. / Teixeira, Miguel A. C. / Methven, John / Vosper, Simon B. et al. | 2019
- 176
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Current state of the global operational aerosol multi‐model ensemble: An update from the International Cooperative for Aerosol Prediction (ICAP)Xian, Peng / Reid, Jeffrey S. / Hyer, Edward J. / Sampson, Charles R. / Rubin, Juli I. / Ades, Melanie / Asencio, Nicole / Basart, Sara / Benedetti, Angela / Bhattacharjee, Partha S. et al. | 2019
- 179
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Multiscale characteristics of an extreme precipitation event over NepalBohlinger, Patrik / Sorteberg, Asgeir / Liu, Changhai / Rasmussen, Roy / Sodemann, Harald / Ogawa, Fumiaki et al. | 2019
- 197
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The energy cascade associated with daily variability of the North Atlantic OscillationCastanheira, José M. / Marques, Carlos A. F. et al. | 2019
- 210
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Promoting the use of probabilistic weather forecasts through a dialogue between scientists, developers and end‐usersFundel, Vanessa J. / Fleischhut, Nadine / Herzog, Stefan M. / Göber, Martin / Hagedorn, Renate et al. | 2019
- 211
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Azimuthally averaged structure of Hurricane Edouard (2014) just after peak intensitySmith, Roger K. / Montgomery, Michael T. / Braun, Scott A. et al. | 2019
- 217
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Data assimilation strategies for state‐dependent observation error variancesBishop, Craig H. et al. | 2019
- 228
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Impact of two‐way coupling and sea‐surface temperature on precipitation forecasts in regional atmosphere and ocean modelsStrajnar, Benedikt / Cedilnik, Jure / Fettich, Anja / Ličer, Matjaž / Pristov, Neva / Smerkol, Peter / Jerman, Jurij et al. | 2019
- 243
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On the stochastic parametrization of short‐scale processesNicolis, Catherine / Nicolis, Gregoire et al. | 2019
- 258
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Ensemble singular vectors as additive inflation in the Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter (LETKF) framework with a global NWP modelShin, Seoleun / Kang, Ji‐Sun / Yang, Shu‐Chih / Kalnay, Eugenia et al. | 2019
- 273
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The intensity and motion of hybrid cyclones in the Australian region in a composite potential vorticity frameworkQuinting, Julian F. / Reeder, Michael J. / Catto, Jennifer L. et al. | 2019
- 288
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Synoptic climatology of hybrid cyclones in the Australian regionQuinting, Julian F. / Catto, Jennifer L. / Reeder, Michael J. et al. | 2019
- 303
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Precipitation characteristic changes due to global warming in a high‐resolution (16 km) ECMWF simulationFeng, Xuelei / Liu, Chuntao / Xie, Feiqin / Lu, Jian / Chiu, Long S. / Tintera, George / Chen, Baohua et al. | 2019
- 318
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The vertical wave number spectra of potential energy density in the stratosphere deduced from the COSMIC satellite observationYan, Yan Ying / Zhang, Shao Dong / Huang, Chun Ming / Huang, Kai Ming / Gong, Yun / Gan, Quan et al. | 2019
- 337
-
Local time stepping for a mass‐consistent and time‐split advection schemeBaldauf, Michael et al. | 2019
- 347
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Laplace transform integration of a baroclinic modelHarney, Eoghan / Lynch, Peter et al. | 2019
- 356
-
Influence of a valley exit jet on the nocturnal atmospheric boundary layer at the foothills of the PyreneesJiménez, Maria A. / Cuxart, Joan / Martínez‐Villagrasa, Daniel et al. | 2019
- 376
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Selective ensemble mean technique for severe European windstormsScher, Sebastian / Messori, Gabriele et al. | 2019
- 386
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Forms of the thermodynamic energy equation for moist airStaniforth, Andrew / White, Andy et al. | 2019
- 395
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A 4D feature‐tracking algorithm: A multidimensional view of cyclone systemsLakkis, Susan Gabriela / Canziani, Pablo / Yuchechen, Adrián / Rocamora, Leandro / Caferri, Agustin / Hodges, Kevin / O'Neill, Alan et al. | 2019
- 418
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Estimation of physical parameters under location uncertainty using an ensemble2–expectation–maximization algorithmYang, Yin / Mémin, Etienne et al. | 2019
- 434
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Effects of the wind–mass balance constraint on ensemble forecasts in the hybrid‐4DEnVarSong, Hyo‐Jong / Kang, Jeon‐Ho et al. | 2019
- 450
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Sensible heating as a potential mechanism for enhanced cloud formation over temperate forestBosman, Peter J. M. / van Heerwaarden, Chiel C. / Teuling, Adriaan J. et al. | 2019
- 469
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An atmospheric Bénard problemFantini, Maurizio et al. | 2019
- 476
-
Noise‐induced vortex‐splitting stratospheric sudden warmingsEsler, J. Gavin / Mester, Márton et al. | 2019
- 495
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A method to determine the characteristic time‐scales of quasi‐isotropic surface‐layer turbulence over complex terrain: A case‐study in the Adige Valley (Italian Alps)Falocchi, Marco / Giovannini, Lorenzo / de Franceschi, Massimiliano / Zardi, Dino et al. | 2019
- 513
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Estimation of ground‐based GNSS Zenith Total Delay temporal observation error correlations using data from the NOAA and E‐GVAP networksMacpherson, Stephen / Laroche, Stéphane et al. | 2019
- 530
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On the dynamical coupling between atmospheric blocks and heavy precipitation events: A discussion of the southern Alpine flood in October 2000Lenggenhager, Sina / Croci‐Maspoli, Mischa / Brönnimann, Stefan / Martius, Olivia et al. | 2019
- 546
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Microfronts in the nocturnal boundary layerMahrt, Larry et al. | 2019
- 563
-
Hydrostatic vertical velocity and incompressibility in the Northern HemisphereEgger, Joseph / Hoinka, Klaus‐Peter et al. | 2019
- 575
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The asymmetric eddy–background flow interaction in the North Pacific storm trackZhao, Yuan‐Bing / Liang, X. San / Guan, Zhaoyong / Hodges, Kevin I. et al. | 2019
- 597
-
Simulation and diagnosis of observation, model and background error contributions in data assimilation cyclingBerre, Loïk et al. | 2019
- 609
-
An efficient semi‐implicit temporal scheme for boundary‐layer vertical diffusionRokhzadi, Arman / Mohammadian, Abdolmajid et al. | 2019
- 620
-
Assimilating cloudy and rainy microwave observations from SAPHIR on board Megha Tropiques within the ARPEGE global modelDuruisseau, Fabrice / Chambon, Philippe / Wattrelot, Eric / Barreyat, Marylis / Mahfouf, Jean‐François et al. | 2019
- 642
-
Stochastically perturbed bred vectors in multi‐scale systemsGiggins, Brent / Gottwald, Georg A. et al. | 2019
- 659
-
Ensemble reduction using cluster analysisSerafin, Stefano / Strauss, Lukas / Dorninger, Manfred et al. | 2019
- 675
-
Probabilistic forecasts of tropical cyclone tracks and intensities in the southwest Indian Ocean basinBonnardot, Francois / Quetelard, Hubert / Jumaux, Guillaume / Leroux, Marie‐Dominique / Bessafi, Miloud et al. | 2019
- 687
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West Antarctic surface melt event of January 2016 facilitated by föhn warmingZou, Xun / Bromwich, David H. / Nicolas, Julien P. / Montenegro, Alvaro / Wang, Sheng‐Hung et al. | 2019
- 705
-
Assimilating satellite sea‐surface salinity data from SMOS, Aquarius and SMAP into a global ocean forecasting systemMartin, Matthew J. / King, Robert R. / While, James / Aguiar, Ana Barbosa et al. | 2019
- 727
-
Statistics of convective cloud turbulence from a comprehensive turbulence retrieval method for radar observationsFeist, Matthew M. / Westbrook, Chris D. / Clark, Peter A. / Stein, Thorwald H.M. / Lean, Humphrey W. / Stirling, Alison J. et al. | 2019
- 745
-
Comparison of assimilating all‐sky and clear‐sky infrared radiances from Himawari‐8 in a mesoscale systemOkamoto, Kozo / Sawada, Yohei / Kunii, Masaru et al. | 2019
- 767
-
A physical subgrid‐scale information exchange (PSIE) system for parametrization schemes in numerical weather prediction modelsKuell, Volker / Bott, Andreas et al. | 2019
- 784
-
Understanding the dissipation of continental fog by analysing the LWP budget using idealized LES and in situ observationsWærsted, Eivind G. / Haeffelin, Martial / Steeneveld, Gert‐Jan / Dupont, Jean‐Charles et al. | 2019
- 805
-
An adaptive background error inflation method for assimilating all‐sky radiancesMinamide, Masashi / Zhang, Fuqing et al. | 2019
- 824
-
Barotropic growth of monsoon depressionsDiaz, Michael / Boos, William R. et al. | 2019
- 845
-
Assessing the mechanisms governing the daytime evolution of marine stratocumulus using large‐eddy simulationMcMichael, Lucas A. / Mechem, David B. / Wang, Shouping / Wang, Qing / Kogan, Yefim L. / Teixeira, João et al. | 2019
- 867
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All‐sky satellite data assimilation of microwave temperature sounding channels at the Met OfficeMigliorini, Stefano / Candy, Brett et al. | 2019
- 884
-
A dynamic extension of the pragmatic blending scheme for scale‐dependent sub‐grid mixingEfstathiou, Georgios A. / Plant, Robert S. et al. | 2019
- 1309
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On the hypothesized outflow control of tropical cyclone intensificationMontgomery, Michael T. / Persing, John / Smith, Roger K. et al. | 2019
- 1323
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Convective initiation and storm life cycles in convection‐permitting simulations of the Met Office Unified Model over South AfricaKeat, William J. / Stein, Thorwald H. M. / Phaduli, Elelwani / Landman, Stephanie / Becker, Erik / Bopape, Mary‐Jane M. / Hanley, Kirsty E. / Lean, Humphrey W. / Webster, Stuart et al. | 2019
- 1337
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Numerical solution of the conditionally averaged equations for representing net mass flux due to convectionWeller, Hilary / McIntyre, William A. et al. | 2019
- 1354
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Comparison of 4DVAR and EnKF state estimates and forecasts in the Gulf of MexicoGopalakrishnan, Ganesh / Hoteit, Ibrahim / Cornuelle, Bruce D. / Rudnick, Daniel L. et al. | 2019
- 1377
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Circumventing the pole problem of reduced lat–lon grids with local schemes. Part I: Analysis and model formulationBénard, Pierre / Glinton, Michael R. et al. | 2019
- 1392
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Circumventing the pole problem of reduced lat‐lon grids with local schemes. Part II: Validation experimentsGlinton, Michael R. / Bénard, Pierre et al. | 2019
- 1406
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Convective activity in an extratropical cyclone and its warm conveyor belt – a case‐study combining observations and a convection‐permitting model simulationOertel, Annika / Boettcher, Maxi / Joos, Hanna / Sprenger, Michael / Konow, Heike / Hagen, Martin / Wernli, Heini et al. | 2019
- 1427
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Bulk and structural convergence at convection‐resolving scales in real‐case simulations of summertime moist convection over landPanosetti, Davide / Schlemmer, Linda / Schär, Christoph et al. | 2019
- 1444
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Development mechanisms for Mediterranean tropical‐like cyclones (medicanes)Miglietta, Mario Marcello / Rotunno, Richard et al. | 2019
- 1461
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Numerical investigation of Rossby waves for nonlinear shallow‐water equations on the sphereBénard, Pierre et al. | 2019
- 1474
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On‐ and off‐line evaluation of the single‐layer urban canopy model in London summertime conditionsTsiringakis, Aristofanis / Steeneveld, Gert‐Jan / Holtslag, Albert A. M. / Kotthaus, Simone / Grimmond, Sue et al. | 2019
- 1490
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A revised implicit equal‐weights particle filterSkauvold, Jacob / Eidsvik, Jo / van Leeuwen, Peter Jan / Amezcua, Javier et al. | 2019
- 1503
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Trapped mountain waves with a critical level just below the surfaceSoufflet, Clément / Lott, François / Damiens, Florentin et al. | 2019
- 1515
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Classifying the nocturnal atmospheric boundary layer into temperature and flow regimesPfister, Lena / Lapo, Karl / Sayde, Chadi / Selker, John / Mahrt, Larry / Thomas, Christoph K. et al. | 2019
- 1535
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A two‐fluid single‐column model of the dry, shear‐free, convective boundary layerThuburn, John / Efstathiou, Georgios A. / Beare, Robert J. et al. | 2019
- 1551
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Critical flux Richardson number for Kolmogorov turbulence enabled by TKE transportFreire, Livia S. / Chamecki, Marcelo / Bou‐Zeid, Elie / Dias, Nelson L. et al. | 2019
- 1559
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Evidence for nonlinear processes in fostering a North Pacific jet retractionBreeden, Melissa / Martin, Jonathan E. et al. | 2019
- 1571
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Estimating model evidence using ensemble‐based data assimilation with localization – The model selection problemMetref, Sammy / Hannart, Alexis / Ruiz, Juan / Bocquet, Marc / Carrassi, Alberto / Ghil, Michael et al. | 2019
- 1589
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Estimates of entrainment in closed cellular marine stratocumulus clouds from the MAGIC field campaignGhate, Virendra P. / Mechem, David B. / Cadeddu, Maria P. / Eloranta, Edwin W. / Jensen, Michael P. / Nordeen, Michele L. / Smith, William L. Jr et al. | 2019
- 1603
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Assessment of GPM high‐frequency microwave measurements with radiative transfer simulation under snowfall conditionsYin, Mengtao / Liu, Guosheng et al. | 2019
- 1617
-
Distinct impacts of the MJO and the NAO on cold wave amplitude in ChinaLyu, Mengxia / Wu, Zhiwei / Shi, Xiaohui / Wen, Min et al. | 2019
- 1636
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Synoptic‐flow interaction with valley cold‐air pools and effects on cold‐air pool persistence: Influence of valley size and atmospheric stabilitySheridan, Peter F. et al. | 2019
- 1660
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Statistical generation of SST perturbations with spatio‐temporally coherent growing patternsHotta, Daisuke / Ota, Yoichiro et al. | 2019
- 1674
-
The impact of spin‐up and resolution on the representation of a clear convective boundary layer over London in order 100 m grid‐length versions of the Met Office Unified ModelLean, Humphrey W. / Barlow, Janet F. / Halios, Christos H. et al. | 2019
- 1690
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Occurrence and detection of impact multipath simulations of bending angleZou, Xiaolei / Liu, Hui / Kuo, Ying‐Hwa et al. | 2019
- 1705
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Statistical post‐processing of dual‐resolution ensemble forecastsBaran, Sándor / Leutbecher, Martin / Szabó, Marianna / Ben Bouallègue, Zied et al. | 2019
- 1721
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A spatially explicit and temporally highly resolved analysis of variations in fog occurrence over EuropeEgli, Sebastian / Thies, Boris / Bendix, Jörg et al. | 2019
- 1741
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Monitoring trends in ensemble forecast performance focusing on surface variables and high‐impact eventsBen Bouallègue, Zied / Magnusson, Linus / Haiden, Thomas / Richardson, David S. et al. | 2019
- 1756
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A new high‐resolution Meteorological Reanalysis Italian Dataset: MERIDABonanno, Riccardo / Lacavalla, Matteo / Sperati, Simone et al. | 2019
- 1780
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The added value of convection‐permitting ensemble forecasts of sea breeze compared to a Bayesian forecast driven by the global ensembleCafaro, Carlo / Frame, Thomas H. A. / Methven, John / Roberts, Nigel / Bröcker, Jochen et al. | 2019
- 1799
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Scale interactions and anisotropy in stable boundary layersVercauteren, Nikki / Boyko, Vyacheslav / Faranda, Davide / Stiperski, Ivana et al. | 2019
- 1814
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Modulation of the urban boundary‐layer heat budget by a heatwaveWang, Liang / Li, Dan et al. | 2019
- 1832
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The coupling of deep convection with the resolved flow via the divergence of mass flux in the IFSMalardel, Sylvie / Bechtold, Peter et al. | 2019
- 1846
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Tropical cyclogenesis at and near the EquatorSteenkamp, Sian C. / Kilroy, Gerard / Smith, Roger K. et al. | 2019
- 1865
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Comparison of the Moist Parcel‐in‐Cell (MPIC) model with large‐eddy simulation for an idealized cloudBöing, Steven J. / Dritschel, David G. / Parker, Douglas J. / Blyth, Alan M. et al. | 2019
- 1882
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The operational global four‐dimensional variational data assimilation system at the China Meteorological AdministrationZhang, Lin / Liu, Yongzhu / Liu, Yan / Gong, Jiandong / Lu, Huijuan / Jin, Zhiyan / Tian, Weihong / Liu, Guiqing / Zhou, Bin / Zhao, Bin et al. | 2019
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On the properties of ensemble forecast sensitivity to observationsKotsuki, Shunji / Kurosawa, Kenta / Miyoshi, Takemasa et al. | 2019
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Modification of the convective adjustment time‐scale in the Kain–Fritsch eta scheme for the case of weakly forced deep convection over the Tibetan Plateau regionWang, Chenghai / Wu, Di / Zhang, Feimin et al. | 2019
- 1933
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Nonlinear latitudinal transfer of wave activity in the winter stratosphereScott, Richard K. et al. | 2019
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Modelling spatially correlated observation errors in variational data assimilation using a diffusion operator on an unstructured meshGuillet, Oliver / Weaver, Anthony T. / Vasseur, Xavier / Michel, Yann / Gratton, Serge / Gürol, Selime et al. | 2019
- 1968
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Understanding the vertical structure of potential vorticity in tropical depressionsMurthy, Varun S. / Boos, William R. et al. | 2019
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Object‐based verification metrics applied to the evaluation and weighting of convective‐scale precipitation forecastsRaynaud, Laure / Pechin, Iseline / Arbogast, Philippe / Rottner, Lucie / Destouches, Mayeul et al. | 2019
- 2009
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Extended representation of wind–mass correlation by ensemble forecasting for data assimilationSong, Hyo‐Jong et al. | 2019
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Inference of stochastic parametrizations for model error treatment using nested ensemble Kalman filtersScheffler, Guillermo / Ruiz, Juan / Pulido, Manuel et al. | 2019
- 2046
-
Accelerating radiative transfer calculations for high‐resolution atmospheric modelsBarker, Howard W. / Li, Jiangnan et al. | 2019
- 2070
-
Storm surge and seiche modelling in the Adriatic Sea and the impact of data assimilationBajo, Marco / Međugorac, Iva / Umgiesser, Georg / Orlić, Mirko et al. | 2019
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Dependence on initial conditions versus model formulations for medium‐range forecast error variationsMagnusson, Linus / Chen, Jan‐Huey / Lin, Shian‐Jiann / Zhou, Linjiong / Chen, Xi et al. | 2019
- 2101
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Effects of topography on in‐canopy transport of gases emitted within dense forestsChen, Bicheng / Chamecki, Marcelo / Katul, Gabriel G. et al. | 2019
- 2115
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Evaluation of remotely sensed rainfall products over Central AfricaCamberlin, Pierre / Barraud, Geoffrey / Bigot, Sylvain / Dewitte, Olivier / Makanzu Imwangana, Fils / Maki Mateso, Jean‐Claude / Martiny, Nadège / Monsieurs, Elise / Moron, Vincent / Pellarin, Thierry et al. | 2019
- 2139
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Assimilation impact of high‐temporal‐resolution volume scans on quantitative precipitation forecasts in a severe storm: Evidence from nudging data assimilation experiments with a thermodynamic retrieval methodShimizu, Shingo / Iwanami, Koyuru / Kato, Ryohei / Sakurai, Namiko / Maesaka, Takeshi / Kieda, Kaori / Shusse, Yukari / Suzuki, Shin‐ichi et al. | 2019
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Sensitivity of WRF model simulations to parametrizations of depositional growth of ice crystal during the landfall of Typhoon Fitow (2013)Xu, Huiyan / Li, Xiaofan et al. | 2019
- 2181
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Relative sensitivities of simulated rainfall to fixed shape parameters and collection efficienciesFreeman, Sean W. / Igel, Adele L. / van den Heever, Susan C. et al. | 2019
- 2202
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A surface temperature and moisture intercomparison study of the Weather Research and Forecasting model, in‐situ measurements and satellite observations over the Atacama DesertFonseca, Ricardo / Zorzano‐Mier, María‐Paz / Azua‐Bustos, Armando / González‐Silva, Carlos / Martín‐Torres, Javier et al. | 2019
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A maximum entropy approach to the interaction between small and large scales in two‐dimensional turbulenceVerkley, Wim T. M. / Severijns, Camiel A. / Zwaal, Boudewijn A. et al. | 2019
- 2237
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Urban impacts on the spatiotemporal pattern of short‐duration convective precipitation in a coastal city adjacent to a mountain rangeKusaka, Hiroyuki / Nishi, Akifumi / Mizunari, Mayumi / Yokoyama, Hitoshi et al. | 2019
- 2255
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Impact of non‐stationarity on hybrid ensemble filters: A study with a doubly stochastic advection‐diffusion‐decay modelTsyrulnikov, Michael / Rakitko, Alexander et al. | 2019
- 2272
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Weak‐ and strong‐friction limits of parcel models: Comparisons and stochastic convective initiation timeHernandez‐Duenas, Gerardo / Smith, Leslie M. / Stechmann, Samuel N. et al. | 2019
- 2292
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Stable boundary‐layer relative humidity profiles and the conditions for onset of radiation fog over landDerbyshire, Steve H. et al. | 2019
- 2308
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An analysis of the Hines and Warner–McIntyre–Scinocca non‐orographic gravity wave drag parametrizationsMajdzadeh, Mahtab / Klaassen, Gary P. et al. | 2019
- 2335
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Particle filters for high‐dimensional geoscience applications: A reviewvan Leeuwen, Peter Jan / Künsch, Hans R. / Nerger, Lars / Potthast, Roland / Reich, Sebastian et al. | 2019
- 2366
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How organized is deep convection over Germany?Pscheidt, Ieda / Senf, Fabian / Heinze, Rieke / Deneke, Hartwig / Trömel, Silke / Hohenegger, Cathy et al. | 2019
- 2385
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Application of the Warn‐on‐Forecast system for flash‐flood‐producing heavy convective rainfall eventsYussouf, Nusrat / Knopfmeier, Kent H. et al. | 2019
- 2404
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Possible roles of fall speed parameters of different graupel densities on microphysics and electrification in an idealized thunderstormOuyang, Xiaoran / Yin, Yan / Xiao, Hui / Guo, Fengxia et al. | 2019
- 2425
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The effect of atmosphere–ocean coupling on the prediction of 2016 western North Pacific tropical cyclonesFeng, Xiangbo / Klingaman, Nicholas P. / Hodges, Kevin I. et al. | 2019
- 2445
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Linear effects of nontraditional Coriolis terms on intertropical convergence zone forced large‐scale flowOng, Hing / Roundy, Paul E. et al. | 2019
- 2454
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Quantifying the role of individual diabatic processes for the formation of PV anomalies in a North Pacific cycloneAttinger, Roman / Spreitzer, Elisa / Boettcher, Maxi / Forbes, Richard / Wernli, Heini / Joos, Hanna et al. | 2019
- 2477
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A modified nonhydrostatic moist global spectral dynamical core using a dry‐mass vertical coordinatePeng, Jun / Wu, Jianping / Zhang, Weimin / Zhao, Jun / Zhang, Lifeng / Yang, Jinhui et al. | 2019
- 2491
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Analyses of the winter low‐level jet over the southern Red Sea using the Weather Research and Forecasting modelSamman, Ahmad E. / Gallus, William A. Jr et al. | 2019
- 2510
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Efficient nonlinear data assimilation using synchronization in a particle filterPinheiro, Flavia R. / van Leeuwen, Peter J. / Geppert, Gernot et al. | 2019
- 2524
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Assimilation of SMOS brightness temperatures in the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting SystemMuñoz‐Sabater, J. / Lawrence, H. / Albergel, C. / Rosnay, P. / Isaksen, L. / Mecklenburg, S. / Kerr, Y. / Drusch, M. et al. | 2019
- 2549
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An analytical study of the atmospheric boundary‐layer flow and divergence over an SST frontAyet, Alex / Redelsperger, Jean‐Luc et al. | 2019
- 2568
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Complex systems modelling for statistical forecasting of winter North Atlantic atmospheric variability: A new approach to North Atlantic seasonal forecastingHall, Richard J. / Wei, Hua‐Liang / Hanna, Edward et al. | 2019
- 2586
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Impacts of future urban expansion on urban heat island effects during heatwave events in the city of Melbourne in southeast AustraliaImran, Hosen M. / Kala, Jatin / Ng, Anne W. M. / Muthukumaran, Shobha et al. | 2019
- 2603
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Persistent precipitation extremes in the Yangtze River Valley prolonged by opportune configuration among atmospheric teleconnectionsChen, Yang / Zhai, Panmao / Liao, Zhen / Li, Lei et al. | 2019
- 2627
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The effects of gravity on the climate and circulation of a terrestrial planetThomson, Stephen I. / Vallis, Geoffrey K. et al. | 2019
- 2641
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Characterization of the atmospheric boundary layer in a narrow tropical valley using remote‐sensing and radiosonde observations and the WRF model: the Aburrá Valley case‐studyHerrera‐Mejía, Laura / Hoyos, Carlos D. et al. | 2019
- 2666
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Monsoon depression amplification by moist barotropic instability in a vertically sheared environmentDiaz, Michael / Boos, William R. et al. | 2019
- 2685
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Does monsoon gyre always favour tropical cyclone rapid intensification?Yan, Ziyu / Ge, Xuyang / Peng, Melinda / Li, Tim et al. | 2019
- 2698
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Meridional structure and future changes of tropopause height and temperatureHu, Shineng / Vallis, Geoffrey K. et al. | 2019
- 2718
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Large‐scale regional model biases in the extratropical North Atlantic storm track and impacts on downstream precipitationPontoppidan, Marie / Kolstad, Erik W. / Sobolowski, Stefan P. / Sorteberg, Asgeir / Liu, Changhai / Rasmussen, Roy et al. | 2019
- 2733
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Variational bias correction of satellite sea‐surface temperature data incorporating observations of the biasWhile, James / Martin, Matthew J. et al. | 2019
- 2755
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Influence of quasi‐biennial oscillation on the boreal winter extratropical stratosphere in QBOi experimentsNaoe, Hiroaki / Yoshida, Kohei et al. | 2019
- 2772
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A pragmatic strategy for implementing spatially correlated observation errors in an operational system: An application to Doppler radial windsSimonin, David / Waller, Joanne A. / Ballard, Susan P. / Dance, Sarah L. / Nichols, Nancy K. et al. | 2019
- 2791
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Routes to long‐term atmospheric predictability in reduced‐order coupled ocean–atmosphere systems: Impact of the ocean basin boundary conditionsVannitsem, Stéphane / Solé‐Pomies, Roman / De Cruz, Lesley et al. | 2019
- 2806
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On the sensitivity of a 4D‐Var analysis system to satellite observations located at different times within the assimilation windowMcNally, Anthony P. et al. | 2019
- 2817
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Dutch fog: On the observed spatio‐temporal variability of fog in the NetherlandsIzett, Jonathan G. / van de Wiel, Bas J. H. / Baas, Peter / van Hooft, J. Antoon / Schulte, Ruben B. et al. | 2019
- 2835
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A mixed finite‐element, finite‐volume, semi‐implicit discretization for atmospheric dynamics: Cartesian geometryMelvin, Thomas / Benacchio, Tommaso / Shipway, Ben / Wood, Nigel / Thuburn, John / Cotter, Colin et al. | 2019
- 2854
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Cloud physics from spaceStephens, Graeme L. / Christensen, Matthew / Andrews, Timothy / Haywood, James / Malavelle, Florent F. / Suzuki, Kentaroh / Jing, Xianwen / Lebsock, Mathew / Li, Jui‐Lin F. / Takahashi, Hanii et al. | 2019
- 2876
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Towards a more reliable historical reanalysis: Improvements for version 3 of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis systemSlivinski, Laura C. / Compo, Gilbert P. / Whitaker, Jeffrey S. / Sardeshmukh, Prashant D. / Giese, Benjamin S. / McColl, Chesley / Allan, Rob / Yin, Xungang / Vose, Russell / Titchner, Holly et al. | 2019
- 2909
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Verification of a seeder–feeder orographic precipitation enhancement scheme accounting for low‐level blockingSmith, Samantha A. / Field, Paul R. / Vosper, Simon B. / Derbyshire, Steve H. et al. | 2019
- 2933
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Downstream influence of mesoscale convective systems. Part 1: influence on forecast evolutionClarke, Samantha J. / Gray, Suzanne L. / Roberts, Nigel M. et al. | 2019
- 2953
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Downstream influence of mesoscale convective systems. Part 2: Influence on ensemble forecast skill and spreadClarke, Samantha J. / Gray, Suzanne L. / Roberts, Nigel M. et al. | 2019
- 2973
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Processes determining heat waves across different European climatesZschenderlein, Philipp / Fink, Andreas H. / Pfahl, Stephan / Wernli, Heini et al. | 2019
- 2990
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Trends in and closure of the atmospheric angular momentum budget in the 20th century in ERA‐20CVeerman, Menno A. / van Heerwaarden, Chiel C. et al. | 2019
- 3004
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Extreme rainfall sensitivity in convective‐scale ensemble modelling over SingaporePorson, Aurore N. / Hagelin, Susanna / Boyd, Douglas F.A. / Roberts, Nigel M. / North, Rachel / Webster, Stuart / Lo, Jeff Chun‐Fung et al. | 2019
- 3023
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Quantifying the global impact of tropical cyclone‐associated gravity waves using HIRDLS, MLS, SABER and IBTrACS dataWright, Corwin J. et al. | 2019
- 3040
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Relationship between atmospheric blocking and warm‐season thunderstorms over western and central EuropeMohr, Susanna / Wandel, Jan / Lenggenhager, Sina / Martius, Olivia et al. | 2019
- 3057
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Internal interannual variability of the winter polar vortex in a simple model of the seasonally evolving stratosphereHatfield, Luke A. / Scott, Richard K. et al. | 2019
- 3074
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Wind turning in the atmospheric boundary layer over landLindvall, Jenny / Svensson, Gunilla et al. | 2019
- 3089
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A simple ensemble approach for more robust process‐based sensitivity analysis of case studies in convection‐permitting modelsFlack, David L. A. / Gray, Suzanne L. / Plant, Robert S. et al. | 2019
- 3102
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Relative contribution of soil moisture, boundary‐layer and microphysical perturbations on convective predictability in different weather regimesKeil, Christian / Baur, Florian / Bachmann, Kevin / Rasp, Stephan / Schneider, Linda / Barthlott, Christian et al. | 2019
- 3116
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Polar low variability and future projections for the Nordic and Barents SeasLandgren, Oskar A. / Batrak, Yurii / Haugen, Jan Erik / Støylen, Eivind / Iversen, Trond et al. | 2019
- 3129
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Linear theory of shallow convection in deep, vertically sheared atmospheresKirshbaum, Daniel J. / Straub, David N. et al. | 2019
- 3148
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Summertime midlatitude weather and climate extremes induced by moisture intrusions to the west of GreenlandBaggett, Cory / Lee, Sukyoung et al. | 2019
- 3161
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Investigating the GPM Dual‐frequency Precipitation Radar signatures of low‐level precipitation enhancementPorcacchia, Leonardo / Kirstetter, Pierre‐Emmanuel / Maggioni, Viviana / Tanelli, Simone et al. | 2019
- 3175
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Efficient dynamical downscaling of general circulation models using continuous data assimilationDesamsetti, Srinivas / Dasari, Hari Prasad / Langodan, Sabique / Titi, Edriss S. / Knio, Omar / Hoteit, Ibrahim et al. | 2019
- 3195
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Evaluation of turbulence parametrizations in convective clouds and their environment based on a large‐eddy simulationStrauss, Clément / Ricard, Didier / Lac, Christine / Verrelle, Antoine et al. | 2019
- 3218
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Statistical postprocessing of dual‐resolution ensemble precipitation forecasts across EuropeGascón, Estíbaliz / Lavers, David / Hamill, Thomas M. / Richardson, David S. / Ben Bouallègue, Zied / Leutbecher, Martin / Pappenberger, Florian et al. | 2019
- 3236
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What global reanalysis best represents near‐surface winds?Ramon, Jaume / Lledó, Llorenç / Torralba, Verónica / Soret, Albert / Doblas‐Reyes, Francisco J. et al. | 2019
- 3252
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Processes governing the amplification of ensemble spread in a medium‐range forecast with large forecast uncertaintyBaumgart, Marlene / Riemer, Michael et al. | 2019
- 3271
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The impact of horizontal atmospheric resolution in modelling air–sea heat fluxesWu, Peili / Roberts, Malcolm / Martin, Gill / Chen, Xiaolong / Zhou, Tianjun / Vidale, Pier L. et al. | 2019
- 3284
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Impact of atmospheric conditions and levels of urbanization on the relationship between nocturnal surface and urban canopy heat islandsFeng, Jia‐Li / Cai, Xiao‐Ming / Chapman, Lee et al. | 2019
- 3300
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Prediction of heavy precipitation in the eastern China flooding events of 2016: Added value of convection‐permitting simulationsLi, Puxi / Guo, Zhun / Furtado, Kalli / Chen, Haoming / Li, Jian / Milton, Sean / Field, Paul R. / Zhou, Tianjun et al. | 2019
- 3320
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The response of ocean parameters to tropical cyclones in the Bay of BengalBusireddy, Nanda Kishore Reddy / Ankur, Kumar / Osuri, Krishna Kishore / Sivareddy, Sanikommu / Niyogi, Dev et al. | 2019
- 3333
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Impact of land surface stochastic physics in ALADIN‐LAEFWang, Yong / Belluš, Martin / Weidle, Florian / Wittmann, Christoph / Tang, Jian / Meier, Florian / Xia, Fan / Keresturi, Endi et al. | 2019
- 3351
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Elimination of spectral blocking by ensuring rotation‐free property of discretized pressure gradient within a spectral semi‐implicit semi‐Lagrangian global atmospheric modelUjiie, Masashi / Hotta, Daisuke et al. | 2019
- 3359
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Erratum to 'Vortex dynamics of stratospheric sudden warmings: A reanalysis data study using PV contour integral diagnostics'Kwasniok, Frank / Beaumont, Robin / Thuburn, John et al. | 2019
- 3361
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Modifications to the representation of subgrid mixing in kilometre‐scale versions of the Unified ModelHanley, Kirsty / Whitall, Michael / Stirling, Alison / Clark, Peter et al. | 2019
- 3376
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Energetically consistent scale‐adaptive stochastic and deterministic energy backscatter schemes for an atmospheric modelDwivedi, Suneet / Franzke, Christian L. E. / Lunkeit, Frank et al. | 2019
- 3387
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Semi‐implicit integration of the unified equations in a mass‐based coordinate: model formulation and numerical testingVoitus, Fabrice / Bénard, Pierre / Kühnlein, Christian / Wedi, Nils P. et al. | 2019
- 3409
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Unravelling the March 1972 northwest Greenland windstorm with high‐resolution numerical simulationsTollinger, Mathias / Gohm, Alexander / Jonassen, Marius O. et al. | 2019
- 3432
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Use and impact of Arctic observations in the ECMWF Numerical Weather Prediction systemLawrence, Heather / Bormann, Niels / Sandu, Irina / Day, Jonathan / Farnan, Jacky / Bauer, Peter et al. | 2019
- 3455
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Retrieval of sea surface salinity from SMAP L‐band radiometer: A novel approach for wind speed correctionSharma, Neerja et al. | 2019
- 3466
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When and where do ECMWF seasonal forecast systems exhibit anomalously low signal‐to‐noise ratio?Charlton‐Perez, Andrew J. / Bröcker, Jochen / Stockdale, Timothy N. / Johnson, Stephanie et al. | 2019
- 3479
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New approaches to postprocessing of multi‐model ensemble forecastsBarnes, Clair / Brierley, Christopher M. / Chandler, Richard E. et al. | 2019
- 3499
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The prospects for increasing the horizontal resolution of the Aeolus horizontal line‐of‐sight wind profilesŠavli, Matic / de Kloe, Jos / Marseille, Gert‐Jan / Rennie, Michael / Žagar, Nedjeljka / Wedi, Nils et al. | 2019
- 3516
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Mixture probabilistic model for precipitation ensemble forecastingWu, Yajing / Yang, Xuebing / Zhang, Wensheng / Kuang, Qiuming et al. | 2019
- 3535
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Regime‐dependent statistical post‐processing of ensemble forecastsAllen, Sam / Ferro, Christopher A. T. / Kwasniok, Frank et al. | 2019
- 3553
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Surface temperature distribution on a spherical ice particle growing by accretion in wet growth regimeLuque, Melina Y. / Bürgesser, Rodrigo E. / Castellano, Nesvit E. et al. | 2019
- 3561
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Spatial and seasonal variability of clouds over the southwest Indian Ocean based on the DARDAR mask productVérèmes, Hélène / Listowski, Constantino / Delanoë, Julien / Barthe, Christelle / Tulet, Pierre / Bonnardot, François / Roy, Denis et al. | 2019
- 3577
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The nocturnal boundary layer transition from weakly to very stable. Part I: ObservationsAcevedo, Otávio C. / Maroneze, Rafael / Costa, Felipe D. / Puhales, Franciano S. / Degrazia, Gervásio A. / Nogueira Martins, Luis G. / Soares de Oliveira, Pablo E. / Mortarini, Luca et al. | 2019
- 3593
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The nocturnal boundary layer transition from weakly to very stable. Part II: Numerical simulation with a second‐order modelMaroneze, Rafael / Acevedo, Otávio C. / Costa, Felipe D. / Puhales, Franciano S. / Demarco, Giuliano / Mortarini, Luca et al. | 2019
- 3609
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Improvements to feature resolution in the OSTIA sea surface temperature analysis using the NEMOVAR assimilation schemeFiedler, E. K. / Mao, C. / Good, S. A. / Waters, J. / Martin, M. J. et al. | 2019
- 3626
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Spatial interpolation of two‐metre temperature over Norway based on the combination of numerical weather prediction ensembles and in situ observationsLussana, C. / Seierstad, I. A. / Nipen, T. N. / Cantarello, L. et al. | 2019
- 3644
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Investigation of the temporal variability of thunderstorms in central and western Europe and the relation to large‐scale flow and teleconnection patternsPiper, David A. / Kunz, Michael / Allen, John T. / Mohr, Susanna et al. | 2019
- 3667
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Shear‐induced electrical changes in the base of thin layer‐cloudHarrison, R. Giles / Marlton, Graeme J. / Aplin, Karen L. / Nicoll, Keri A. et al. | 2019
- 3680
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Impact of dynamical representational errors on an Indian Ocean ensemble data assimilation systemSanikommu, Sivareddy / Banerjee, Deep Sankar / Baduru, Balaji / Paul, Biswamoy / Paul, Arya / Chakraborty, Kunal / Hoteit, Ibrahim et al. | 2019
- 3692
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Impact of a sharp, small‐scale SST front on the marine atmospheric boundary layer on the Iroise Sea: Analysis from a hectometric simulationRedelsperger, J.‐L. / Bouin, M.‐N. / Pianezze, J. / Garnier, V. / Marié, L. et al. | 2019
- 3715
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Spatio‐temporal variability of cloud cover types in West Africa with satellite‐based and reanalysis dataDanso, Derrick Kwadwo / Anquetin, Sandrine / Diedhiou, Arona / Lavaysse, Christophe / Kobea, Arsène / Touré, N'Datchoh Evelyne et al. | 2019
- 3732
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Stratospheric modulation of the large‐scale circulation in the Atlantic–European region and its implications for surface weather eventsBeerli, Remo / Grams, Christian M. et al. | 2019
- 3751
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Planetary geostrophic Boussinesq dynamics: Barotropic flow, baroclinic instability and forced stationary wavesDolaptchiev, Stamen I. / Achatz, Ulrich / Reitz, Thomas et al. | 2019
- 3766
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Consequences of regularizing the Sawyer–Eliassen equation in balance models for tropical cyclone behaviourWang, Shanghong / Smith, Roger K. et al. | 2019
- 3780
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Assessing North Atlantic winter climate response to geomagnetic activity and solar irradiance variabilityMaliniemi, Ville / Asikainen, Timo / Salminen, Antti / Mursula, Kalevi et al. | 2019
- 3790
-
A model study of the effect of clustering on the last stage of drizzle formationMadival, Deepak G. et al. | 2019
- 3801
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Changes in mean flow and atmospheric wave activity in the North Atlantic sectorPaeth, Heiko / Pollinger, Felix et al. | 2019
- 3819
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Mitigating and comparing the striping noise in FengYun‐3B/C/D microwave radiation imager brightness temperature observationsDong, H. / Zou, X. et al. | 2019
- 3832
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Environmental impacts on the flux of mass through deep convectionStorer, Rachel L. / Posselt, Derek J. et al. | 2019
- 3846
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Increased Arctic influence on the midlatitude flow during Scandinavian Blocking episodesDay, Jonathan J. / Sandu, Irina / Magnusson, Linus / Rodwell, Mark J. / Lawrence, Heather / Bormann, Niels / Jung, Thomas et al. | 2019
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Issue Information| 2019